Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. 

I'm a highly experienced sell-side analyst with in excess of 22 years of covering Asia Pacific equities, the past 19 years immersed in event strategies encompassing M&A risk arbitrage, directional long/short, stub trades and restructuring.  

My background also includes accountancy (liquidation/bankruptcy/receivership) earlier in my career and as a chief financial officer of a global commodity company based in the US and Mexico.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

AviChina Industry & Technology H / Event-Driven

AviChina Industry & Technology H (2357 HK)

<p>Civil-aviation and defense play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avichina-industry-tech-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16315:1" rel="noopener">Avichina Industry &amp; Tech H (2357 HK)</a> is trading at a steep 68% discount to NAV. The implied stub, netting off listed holdings, is also at a multi-year low.</p>
<p>In the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/0918/2020091800348.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2020 interim report</a>, AviChina stated:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>During the first half of 2020, with the strategic goal of building an aviation power in the new era in all respects, the Company has been dedicated to becoming a flagship company to provide high-tech aviation products and services for both military and civil purposes.</p>
</blockquote>
<div data-v-e1aeccf8="">
<h3>The Fifth Plenum</h3>
<p data-v-d6b361f8="" data-v-e1aeccf8="">China concluded a four-day meeting, known as the fifth plenum, on the 29th October, in which the 14th five-year plan and the development goals for 2035 were discussed.</p>
<p data-v-d6b361f8="" data-v-e1aeccf8="">One of the key goals from the communique of the plenum was to turn the People‘s Liberation Army into a modern military force (one on par with the US) by 2027 - in time to mark the centennial founding of the PLA. </p>
<p data-v-d6b361f8="" data-v-e1aeccf8="">Concurrent with China's "dual circularity" development - discussed in <em><a href="https://skr.ma/ANkER" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China's Dual Circulation: Hedged Integration</a></em> - wherein China will primarily depend on “domestic circulation” buttressed by external resources or “international circulation”, timing appears favourable for Chinese defense stocks.</p>
<p data-v-d6b361f8="" data-v-e1aeccf8="">Put another way: why provide spending transparency in a sensitive industry via a listed vehicle? At this multiyear low discount to NAV, AviChina is cheap on a standalone basis. And potentially a take-private candidate. </p>
<p data-v-d6b361f8="" data-v-e1aeccf8="">More below the fold.</p>
</div>

Civil-aviation and defense play Avichina Industry &amp; Tech H (2357 HK) is trading at a steep 68% discount to NAV. The implied stub, netting off listed holdings, is also at a multi-year low.
In the 2020 interim report, AviChina stated:

During the first half of 2020, with the strategic goal of building an aviation power in the new era in all respects, the Company has been dedicated to becoming a flagship company to provide high-tech aviation products and services for both military and civil purposes.


The Fifth Plenum
China concluded a four-day meeting, known as the fifth plenum, on the 29th October, in which the 14th five-year plan and the development goals for 2035 were discussed.
One of the key goals from the communique of the plenum was to turn the People‘s Liberation Army into a modern military force (one on par with the US) by 2027 - in time to mark the centennial founding of the PLA. 
Concurrent with China's "dual circularity" development - discussed in China's Dual Circulation: Hedged Integration - wherein China will primarily depend on “domestic circulation” buttressed by external resources or “international circulation”, timing appears favourable for Chinese defense stocks.
Put another way: why provide spending transparency in a sensitive industry via a listed vehicle? At this multiyear low discount to NAV, AviChina is cheap on a standalone basis. And potentially a take-private candidate. 
More below the fold.


China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (600372 CH)

Advanced Semiconductor Mfg Corp Ltd. (3355 HK)

Powerleader Science & Technology Group (8236 HK)

AviChina (2357 HK): Buy The Modern Army Narrative