Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Nearly 25 years of experience in analyzing hundreds of companies, especially in Asia. Deep expertise in the following sectors:
- Technology (E-commerce, SaaS, Internet)
- Consumer 
- Special Situations/Deep Value Plays
- Holdcos/Stubs
- Asian Unicorns/Private Companies

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

2021 High Conviction in Korea: HDC Hyundai Development

Smartkarma North Asia Weekly: JD Health, McDonald’s Japan, Softbank Group, & HDC Hyundai Development

Newly Spun-Off DL E&C and DL Corp Create Higher Value

Korea M&A Spotlight: Daelim Corp's 33% Stake Is Up for Sale

Daelim Restructuring Scenario: Real Intention Behind KCGI’s Acquisition of Daelim Corp Shares

Daelim Industrial Divestiture: Terms & Trading Situations (1P Diversion)

Key Changes In South Korea's Beneficial Ownership Disclosure Rule: Legal Basis For Activism

Two Notable Changes in National Pension Service of Korea: Activism Guideline and Delegation of Votes

Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daelim-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18095:1" rel="noopener">Daelim Industrial (000210 KS)</a> first announced its decision to form a holding company structure on 10 September 2020. Since then, Daelim Industrial's share price is down 9.2% in this period, underperforming KOSPI which is up 9.2% in the same period. On 4 December, Daelim Industrial's shareholders vote on this deal. We think the shareholders will confirm this formation of Holdco/spin-off. Over the years of following the Korean stock market, we have found that the shareholders sometimes do not like the initial spin-off story which knocks the price downwards but later on the share price makes a positive turnaround. In our view, Daelim Industrial could be one of these spin-off related turnaround plays that could outperform the market over the next 6 to 12 months.  Daelim Industrial is one of the largest construction companies in Korea. It makes some of the finest apartments in Korea. The housing business (mostly apartments construction) accounted for 54% of total sales and 78% of the total operating profit of the company in 1Q-3Q 2020. The company has one of the most profitable and best E&amp;C business (especially housing/apartments construction) in Korea.What are the appropriate comps for DL E&amp;C? Hyundai E&amp;C, GS E&amp;C, and Daewoo E&amp;C are the most appropriate comps to DL E&amp;C. These three comps are currently trading at P/E ratios of 11.5x, 6.7x, and 7.6x, respectively. The average of these three multiples would be 8.6x. If we take a more conservative view and take just the lowest P/E of the comps (6.7x) and use this multiple to apply to the estimated annual net profit of 660 billion for the E&amp;C business, it would result in an implied market cap of 4.4 trillion won, which would exceed Daelim Industrial's current market cap of 2.9 trillion won. So essentially, you would be getting the other businesses for free.

Daelim Industrial (000210 KS) first announced its decision to form a holding company structure on 10 September 2020. Since then, Daelim Industrial's share price is down 9.2% in this period, underperforming KOSPI which is up 9.2% in the same period. On 4 December, Daelim Industrial's shareholders vote on this deal. We think the shareholders will confirm this formation of Holdco/spin-off. Over the years of following the Korean stock market, we have found that the shareholders sometimes do not like the initial spin-off story which knocks the price downwards but later on the share price makes a positive turnaround. In our view, Daelim Industrial could be one of these spin-off related turnaround plays that could outperform the market over the next 6 to 12 months.  Daelim Industrial is one of the largest construction companies in Korea. It makes some of the finest apartments in Korea. The housing business (mostly apartments construction) accounted for 54% of total sales and 78% of the total operating profit of the company in 1Q-3Q 2020. The company has one of the most profitable and best E&amp;C business (especially housing/apartments construction) in Korea.What are the appropriate comps for DL E&amp;C? Hyundai E&amp;C, GS E&amp;C, and Daewoo E&amp;C are the most appropriate comps to DL E&amp;C. These three comps are currently trading at P/E ratios of 11.5x, 6.7x, and 7.6x, respectively. The average of these three multiples would be 8.6x. If we take a more conservative view and take just the lowest P/E of the comps (6.7x) and use this multiple to apply to the estimated annual net profit of 660 billion for the E&amp;C business, it would result in an implied market cap of 4.4 trillion won, which would exceed Daelim Industrial's current market cap of 2.9 trillion won. So essentially, you would be getting the other businesses for free.

Hyundai Engineering & Construction (000720 KS)

GS Engineering & Construction (006360 KS)

Daelim Industrial: Unlocking Higher Value Through A Holdco & Spin-Off (Voting on 4 December)

DL Holdings Co

Daelim Industrial: Unlocking Higher Value Through A Holdco & Spin-Off (Voting on 4 December)